Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.178587 0.210302 0.245733 0.288212 0.337721 0.393569 0.461316
2025-09-28 0.129784 0.170150 0.220002 0.285946 0.370731 0.475922 0.616189
2025-10-05 0.108429 0.153892 0.214342 0.300270 0.418923 0.576609 0.801667
2025-10-12 0.095333 0.144420 0.213754 0.318267 0.471183 0.685993 1.009799
2025-10-19 0.083179 0.133429 0.208261 0.326983 0.509641 0.778835 1.204181
2025-10-26 0.071845 0.121400 0.198821 0.327464 0.534540 0.853133 1.378172
2025-11-02 0.060725 0.107716 0.184486 0.317645 0.541155 0.898945 1.511865
2025-11-09 0.050772 0.094295 0.168457 0.302395 0.536215 0.924648 1.614529
2025-11-16 0.045027 0.087237 0.162000 0.302115 0.555649 0.991295 1.790839
2025-11-23 0.039018 0.078751 0.151803 0.293681 0.559393 1.030969 1.924017
2025-11-30 0.035757 0.074948 0.149531 0.299209 0.588529 1.117426 2.148130
2025-12-07 0.032228 0.070082 0.144572 0.298893 0.606439 1.184937 2.343825
2025-12-14 0.028337 0.064143 0.137215 0.293913 0.616696 1.242868 2.535111
2025-12-21 0.025213 0.059377 0.131642 0.291958 0.633075 1.315069 2.763950
2025-12-28 0.023936 0.058456 0.133918 0.306605 0.685083 1.462833 3.159309
2026-01-04 0.023047 0.058272 0.137721 0.324971 0.747034 1.637153 3.627661
2026-01-11 0.021518 0.056324 0.137312 0.333864 0.789387 1.775068 4.034157
2026-01-18 0.019592 0.053084 0.133476 0.334354 0.812932 1.875187 4.369716
2026-01-25 0.017261 0.048434 0.125647 0.324336 0.811028 1.919247 4.585944
2026-02-01 0.014925 0.043374 0.116089 0.308777 0.794010 1.927325 4.721210
2026-02-08 0.013647 0.040965 0.112835 0.308492 0.813857 2.021944 5.066728
2026-02-15 0.012125 0.037615 0.106673 0.299886 0.811907 2.064954 5.294224
2026-02-22 0.011380 0.036381 0.105956 0.305526 0.846886 2.200259 5.759285